Ice Hockey Ratings

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 21, 2010'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 Wisconsin 1   10.0 Oswego 1
2   9.9 Miami 2   9.6 Norwich 2
3   9.8 North Dakota 3   9.4 Plattsburgh 3
4   9.5 Denver 4   9.0 St. Norbert 6
5   9.3 Michigan 8   8.6 Middlebury 4
6   9.3 Boston College 6   8.5 Elmira 5
7   9.3 St. Cloud State 7   8.2 Manhattanville 7
8   9.3 Bemidji State 5   8.0 Bowdoin 8
9   9.2 Cornell 10   7.9 Fredonia 9
10   9.1 Colorado College 9   7.8 Adrian 15
.   .   .   .   .
11   9.0 Northern Michigan 11   7.7 St. Scholastica 18
12   9.0 Minnesota 14   7.6 Amherst 10
13   9.0 Minnesota-Duluth 12   7.5 Hobart 11
14   9.0 Ferris State 13   7.5 Neumann 12
15   8.9 Alaska 15   7.5 Williams 13
16   8.9 Mass.-Lowell 16   7.4 Geneseo 14
17   8.9 Minnesota State 17   7.2 Babson 16
18   8.8 Yale 19   7.2 Trinity 17
19   8.8 New Hampshire 18   6.9 Wis.-River Falls 25
20   8.8 Nebraska-Omaha 20   6.8 Hamline 28
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.7 Michigan State 21   6.7 Wis.-Superior 33
22   8.6 Maine 24   6.6 Gustavus Adolphus 32
23   8.6 Vermont 22   6.6 Hamilton 19
24   8.5 Ohio State 23   6.6 Brockport 20
25   8.5 Union 25   6.5 Tufts 21
26   8.4 Merrimack 27   6.5 Colby 22
27   8.3 Boston University 26   6.4 New England College 23
28   8.3 Northeastern 28   6.4 St. Anselm 24
29   8.3 Massachusetts 29   6.3 Wis.-Eau Claire 40
30   8.3 Notre Dame 30   6.3 Salem State 27
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.2 Niagara 31   6.2 Castleton 26
32   8.1 Lake Superior 32   6.2 Wis.-Stout 42
33   8.1 RIT 37   6.2 Wis.-Stevens Point 43
34   8.0 Rensselaer 34   6.1 Curry 31
35   8.0 Quinnipiac 35   6.1 Potsdam 29
36   7.9 Robert Morris 36   6.0 Morrisville 30
37   7.9 St. Lawrence 33   6.0 Wentworth 35
38   7.9 Western Michigan 38   6.0 Utica 34
39   7.9 Colgate 40   5.9 Marian 45
40   7.9 Alabama-Huntsville 39   5.9 Conn. College 36
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.8 Alaska-Anchorage 41   5.8 Mass.-Boston 37
42   7.6 Providence 42   5.7 Skidmore 38
43   7.5 Dartmouth 43   5.7 Southern Maine 41
44   7.5 Michigan Tech 44   5.6 Cortland 39
45   7.5 Harvard 45   5.5 St. Olaf 48
46   7.3 Brown 48   5.5 Fitchburg State 44
47   7.3 Sacred Heart 46   5.4 St. John's 49
48   7.3 Bowling Green 47   5.3 Augsburg 51
49   7.2 Clarkson 50   5.3 Buffalo State 46
50   7.2 Air Force 49   5.1 Wesleyan 47
.   .   .   .   .
51   7.2 Princeton 51   5.0 St. Thomas 54
52   7.1 Mercyhurst 52   4.8 Plymouth State 50
53   6.9 Canisius 53   4.7 Milw School of Eng 57
54   6.7 Holy Cross 54   4.7 Concordia MN 59
55   6.7 Army 55   4.7 Johnson and Wales 52
56   6.4 Bentley 56   4.7 Bethel 61
57   5.8 Connecticut 57   4.7 Westfield State 53
58   5.5 American Int'l 58   4.3 St. Michael's 55
59   .   .   4.3 Mass.-Dartmouth 58
60   .   .   4.3 Suffolk 56
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   4.1 Becker 60
62   .   .   4.0 Nichols 62
63   .   .   3.7 Univ. New England 64
64   .   .   3.7 Assumption 65
65   .   .   3.7 Lebanon Valley 63
66   .   .   3.4 Lawrence 66
67   .   .   3.2 Lake Forest 69
68   .   .   2.8 St. Mary's 70
69   .   .   2.7 Stonehill 67
70   .   .   2.7 Franklin Pierce 68
.   .   .   .   .
71   .   .   2.4 Finlandia 75
72   .   .   2.3 Western NE College 71
73   .   .   2.2 So. New Hampshire 72
74   .   .   2.1 Worcester State 73
75   .   .   2.1 Salve Regina 74
76   .   .   1.7 Framingham State 76
77   .   .   1.2 Concordia WI 77
78   .   .   1.1 Northland 78

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 21, 2010'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Mercyhurst 1   10.0 Amherst 3
2   8.8 Minnesota-Duluth 2   9.7 Plattsburgh 2
3   8.6 Cornell 3   9.6 Elmira 1
4   8.4 Minnesota 4   9.4 Middlebury 4
5   8.3 Harvard 5   9.2 RIT 5
6   8.1 Clarkson 6   8.9 Trinity 6
7   8.1 Connecticut 7   8.6 Manhattanville 7
8   7.9 Wisconsin 8   7.8 Norwich 9
9   7.9 New Hampshire 9   7.7 Bowdoin 10
10   7.8 Northeastern 10   7.5 Holy Cross 11
.   .   .   .   .
11   7.7 Boston University 11   7.3 Gustavus Adolphus 8
12   7.7 Providence 12   7.2 St. Anselm 14
13   7.6 Ohio State 13   6.9 Williams 15
14   7.6 Rensselaer 14   6.9 Wis.-River Falls 12
15   7.5 Quinnipiac 15   6.9 Lake Forest 13
16   7.4 Dartmouth 16   6.7 Hamilton 18
17   7.4 St. Lawrence 19   6.7 Neumann 16
18   7.4 St. Cloud State 17   6.4 Utica 20
19   7.3 Syracuse 18   6.3 Wis.-Superior 17
20   7.2 Niagara 20   6.2 Mass.-Boston 25
.   .   .   .   .
21   7.1 Princeton 21   6.1 Conn. College 27
22   6.8 Bemidji State 22   6.1 St. Thomas 19
23   6.6 North Dakota 23   5.9 Adrian 22
24   6.6 Wayne State 24   5.9 New England College 28
25   6.3 Boston College 25   5.9 Wis.-Stevens Point 21
26   6.3 Colgate 26   5.8 Buffalo State 29
27   6.3 Yale 27   5.8 Wis.-Eau Claire 23
28   6.3 Minnesota State 28   5.7 St. Olaf 24
29   6.2 Robert Morris 29   5.7 Southern Maine 31
30   5.8 Vermont 30   5.6 St. Catherine 26
.   .   .   .   .
31   5.7 Maine 31   5.2 St. Mary's 30
32   5.3 Brown 32   5.1 Concordia MN 32
33   4.6 Union 33   5.0 Concordia WI 33
34   0.3 Sacred Heart 34   5.0 Cortland 35
35   .   .   5.0 Potsdam 36
36   .   .   5.0 Oswego 37
37   .   .   4.9 Salve Regina 38
38   .   .   4.8 Colby 40
39   .   .   4.7 Chatham 39
40   .   .   4.7 Bethel 34
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   3.8 St. Benedict 41
42   .   .   3.6 St. Michael's 43
43   .   .   3.3 Castleton 44
44   .   .   3.2 Hamline 42
45   .   .   3.2 Wesleyan 46
46   .   .   2.9 Nichols 47
47   .   .   2.8 Finlandia 45
48   .   .   2.3 Augsburg 48
49   .   .   1.8 Marian 49
50   .   .   -1.0 Plymouth State 50
.   .   .   .   .