cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 14, 2013'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 Minnesota 1   10.0 Wis.-Eau Claire 1
2   10.0 Quinnipiac 2   9.9 St. Norbert 2
3   9.8 St. Cloud State 3   9.4 Oswego 3
4   9.7 New Hampshire 4   9.0 Adrian 4
5   9.7 Mass.-Lowell 5   8.9 Utica 5
6   9.7 Union 6   8.8 Wis.-Stevens Point 6
7   9.6 North Dakota 7   8.7 Hobart 7
8   9.6 Denver 8   8.6 Norwich 8
9   9.4 Miami 9   8.5 Plattsburgh 9
10   9.4 Notre Dame 11   8.4 St. Scholastica 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   9.4 Minnesota State 10   8.3 Neumann 11
12   9.4 Wisconsin 12   8.1 Wis.-River Falls 12
13   9.4 Rensselaer 13   8.0 St. John's 13
14   9.3 Yale 19   7.9 Manhattanville 14
15   9.3 Boston College 14   7.8 Gustavus Adolphus 15
16   9.2 Providence 15   7.7 Amherst 16
17   9.1 Boston University 16   7.7 Wis.-Stout 17
18   9.1 Brown 21   7.7 Bowdoin 18
19   9.1 Cornell 20   7.6 Williams 19
20   9.1 Colorado College 17   7.6 Babson 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   9.1 Nebraska-Omaha 18   7.5 Wis.-Superior 21
22   9.1 Dartmouth 23   7.4 Geneseo 22
23   9.0 Western Michigan 22   7.4 St. Thomas 23
24   8.9 Ferris State 24   7.4 Trinity 24
25   8.9 Michigan 25   7.3 Milw School of Eng 25
26   8.9 Ohio State 26   7.2 Mass.-Boston 26
27   8.8 Colgate 28   7.1 Middlebury 27
28   8.8 Bowling Green 27   7.1 Wesleyan 28
29   8.7 Air Force 29   7.1 Buffalo State 29
30   8.7 Niagara 31   6.9 Castleton 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.7 Massachusetts 32   6.9 Concordia MN 31
32   8.7 Michigan Tech 30   6.9 St. Olaf 32
33   8.6 St. Lawrence 35   6.8 Lake Forest 33
34   8.6 Alaska 33   6.7 St. Anselm 34
35   8.6 Minnesota-Duluth 34   6.7 Marian 35
36   8.5 Canisius 36   6.6 Augsburg 36
37   8.5 Merrimack 38   6.2 Plymouth State 37
38   8.5 Northern Michigan 37   6.1 Wentworth 38
39   8.5 Lake Superior 39   6.1 Lawrence 39
40   8.4 Robert Morris 40   6.0 Elmira 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   8.4 Maine 41   5.9 Nichols 41
42   8.4 Clarkson 44   5.8 Cortland 42
43   8.3 Mercyhurst 43   5.8 St. Mary's 43
44   8.3 Bemidji State 42   5.7 Concordia WI 44
45   8.3 Princeton 47   5.6 Skidmore 45
46   8.3 Michigan State 45   5.6 Nazareth 46
47   8.3 Vermont 46   5.6 Colby 47
48   8.2 Harvard 48   5.5 Brockport 48
49   8.2 Holy Cross 49   5.5 New England College 49
50   8.1 Connecticut 50   5.4 Salve Regina 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   7.9 RIT 51   5.3 Westfield State 51
52   7.9 Penn State 52   5.3 Conn. College 52
53   7.8 Northeastern 54   5.3 Hamilton 53
54   7.7 Alaska-Anchorage 53   5.2 Finlandia 54
55   7.7 Bentley 55   5.2 Bethel 55
56   7.4 American Int'l 56   5.2 Mass.-Dartmouth 56
57   6.6 Army 57   5.2 Northland 57
58   6.1 Alabama-Huntsville 58   5.1 Hamline 58
59   5.8 Sacred Heart 59   5.1 Potsdam 59
60   .   .   5.0 Curry 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   4.9 Morrisville 61
62   .   .   4.9 Tufts 62
63   .   .   4.9 Fredonia 63
64   .   .   4.8 Salem State 64
65   .   .   4.8 Fitchburg State 65
66   .   .   4.8 Southern Maine 66
67   .   .   4.7 St. Michael's 67
68   .   .   4.7 Western NE College 68
69   .   .   4.6 Univ. New England 69
70   .   .   4.5 Stonehill 70
.   .   .   .   .
71   .   .   4.4 Becker 71
72   .   .   4.4 Johnson and Wales 72
73   .   .   3.9 Suffolk 73
74   .   .   3.7 Franklin Pierce 74
75   .   .   3.5 Worcester State 75
76   .   .   3.4 SUNY Canton 76
77   .   .   3.4 So. New Hampshire 77
78   .   .   2.8 Assumption 78
79   .   .   2.7 Framingham State 79

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 14, 2013'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Minnesota 1   10.0 Plattsburgh 1
2   8.1 North Dakota 2   9.3 Elmira 2
3   7.9 Boston College 3   9.2 Norwich 3
4   7.8 Wisconsin 4   9.0 Middlebury 4
5   7.6 Cornell 5   8.9 Wis.-River Falls 5
6   7.4 Harvard 6   8.7 Bowdoin 6
7   7.2 Boston University 7   8.5 Gustavus Adolphus 7
8   6.9 Northeastern 8   7.8 Wis.-Superior 8
9   6.7 Mercyhurst 9   7.8 St. Anselm 9
10   6.7 Minnesota-Duluth 10   7.6 Adrian 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   6.6 Ohio State 11   7.5 Amherst 11
12   6.6 Clarkson 12   7.5 St. Norbert 12
13   6.2 Quinnipiac 13   7.4 Manhattanville 13
14   6.0 Dartmouth 14   7.2 Lake Forest 14
15   6.0 St. Lawrence 15   7.1 St. Thomas 15
16   5.4 New Hampshire 16   7.0 Holy Cross 16
17   5.3 Syracuse 17   7.0 Conn. College 17
18   5.2 Bemidji State 18   7.0 Bethel 18
19   5.2 Minnesota State 19   7.0 St. Scholastica 19
20   5.1 Providence 20   6.8 Utica 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   5.1 St. Cloud State 21   6.7 Wis.-Stevens Point 21
22   4.8 Rensselaer 22   6.7 Hamilton 22
23   4.7 Robert Morris 23   6.7 Trinity 23
24   4.6 Colgate 24   6.3 Concordia MN 24
25   4.6 Princeton 25   6.3 Salve Regina 25
26   4.6 Vermont 26   6.1 Colby 26
27   4.5 RIT 27   5.9 St. Catherine 27
28   4.0 Yale 28   5.9 St. Olaf 28
29   4.0 Brown 29   5.9 Oswego 29
30   3.9 Maine 30   5.8 Wis.-Eau Claire 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   3.5 Union 31   5.7 Williams 31
32   3.4 Connecticut 32   5.6 Neumann 32
33   3.3 Lindenwood 33   5.4 Castleton 33
34   2.6 Penn State 34   5.3 New England College 34
35   -1.2 Sacred Heart 35   5.2 Wesleyan 35
36   .   .   5.2 Hamline 36
37   .   .   5.1 Mass.-Boston 37
38   .   .   5.0 Southern Maine 38
39   .   .   4.9 St. Mary's 39
40   .   .   4.9 Augsburg 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   4.8 St. Benedict 41
42   .   .   4.7 Potsdam 42
43   .   .   4.7 Cortland 43
44   .   .   4.3 Concordia WI 44
45   .   .   4.2 Buffalo State 45
46   .   .   4.2 Marian 46
47   .   .   3.9 Franklin Pierce 47
48   .   .   3.8 Stevenson 48
49   .   .   3.7 St. Michael's 49
50   .   .   3.6 Plymouth State 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.2 Nichols 51
52   .   .   2.8 Chatham 52
53   .   .   1.0 Finlandia 53
54   .   .   0.8 Univ. New England 54