cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 30, 2014'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 Boston College 1   10.0 St. Norbert 1
2   9.9 Union 2   9.3 Wis.-Stevens Point 2
3   9.7 Minnesota 3   8.7 Wis.-Eau Claire 3
4   9.3 Quinnipiac 4   8.1 St. Thomas 4
5   9.3 Mass.-Lowell 5   8.0 Adrian 5
6   9.2 Notre Dame 6   7.8 St. Scholastica 6
7   9.1 Providence 8   7.6 Wis.-River Falls 7
8   9.0 Vermont 7   7.4 Gustavus Adolphus 8
9   9.0 New Hampshire 10   7.4 Marian 9
10   8.9 St. Cloud State 9   7.4 Oswego 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   8.8 Ferris State 11   7.4 Norwich 11
12   8.8 Minnesota State 12   7.3 Plattsburgh 12
13   8.7 Maine 15   7.1 Trinity 13
14   8.7 Michigan 16   7.0 Lake Forest 14
15   8.7 Yale 13   7.0 Elmira 15
16   8.7 North Dakota 18   7.0 Wis.-Superior 16
17   8.6 Wisconsin 14   6.9 St. John's 17
18   8.6 Ohio State 20   6.9 St. Olaf 18
19   8.6 Northeastern 21   6.6 Geneseo 19
20   8.6 Colgate 19   6.6 Mass.-Boston 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.5 Denver 17   6.6 Utica 21
22   8.4 Rensselaer 22   6.6 Amherst 22
23   8.4 Minnesota-Duluth 23   6.5 Babson 23
24   8.3 Miami 24   6.5 Concordia MN 24
25   8.3 Bowling Green 25   6.4 Augsburg 25
26   8.3 Cornell 27   6.4 Bowdoin 26
27   8.3 Alaska 26   6.4 Hobart 27
28   8.2 Brown 29   6.3 Williams 28
29   8.2 Clarkson 28   6.3 Wis.-Stout 29
30   8.2 St. Lawrence 30   6.0 Middlebury 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.2 Western Michigan 31   6.0 Manhattanville 31
32   8.1 Alaska-Anchorage 32   6.0 Buffalo State 32
33   8.1 Nebraska-Omaha 33   5.9 Concordia WI 33
34   8.1 Harvard 34   5.8 Milw School of Eng 34
35   8.0 Massachusetts 35   5.7 New England College 35
36   8.0 Northern Michigan 36   5.7 St. Mary's 36
37   8.0 Michigan Tech 37   5.6 Neumann 37
38   7.9 Lake Superior 38   5.6 Castleton 38
39   7.8 Michigan State 39   5.6 Lawrence 39
40   7.8 Dartmouth 40   5.5 Nazareth 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.8 Boston University 41   5.4 Bethel 41
42   7.7 Mercyhurst 42   5.3 Wesleyan 42
43   7.7 Merrimack 43   5.3 St. Anselm 43
44   7.6 Bemidji State 44   5.2 Brockport 44
45   7.5 Colorado College 45   5.1 Conn. College 45
46   7.5 Bentley 46   4.9 Skidmore 46
47   7.4 Air Force 47   4.9 Johnson and Wales 47
48   7.2 Penn State 48   4.8 Plymouth State 48
49   7.1 Robert Morris 49   4.8 Fredonia 49
50   7.0 Canisius 50   4.7 Nichols 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   6.9 Connecticut 51   4.7 Finlandia 51
52   6.9 Niagara 52   4.7 Stonehill 52
53   6.7 Holy Cross 53   4.6 Colby 53
54   6.6 Princeton 54   4.6 Potsdam 54
55   6.3 RIT 55   4.5 Hamilton 55
56   5.9 Sacred Heart 56   4.5 So. New Hampshire 56
57   5.7 American Int'l 57   4.4 Univ. New England 57
58   5.6 Alabama-Huntsville 58   4.3 Salem State 58
59   5.3 Army 59   4.3 Southern Maine 59
60   .   .   4.3 Cortland 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   4.2 St. Michael's 61
62   .   .   4.2 Hamline 62
63   .   .   4.2 Curry 63
64   .   .   4.1 Wentworth 64
65   .   .   4.0 Tufts 65
66   .   .   3.7 Salve Regina 66
67   .   .   3.7 Westfield State 67
68   .   .   3.4 Northland 68
69   .   .   3.4 Morrisville 69
70   .   .   3.3 Framingham State 70
.   .   .   .   .
71   .   .   3.2 Fitchburg State 71
72   .   .   3.1 Western NE College 72
73   .   .   3.0 Suffolk 73
74   .   .   2.7 SUNY Canton 74
75   .   .   2.5 Mass.-Dartmouth 75
76   .   .   2.4 Franklin Pierce 76
77   .   .   2.3 Assumption 77
78   .   .   2.0 Worcester State 78
79   .   .   2.0 Becker 79

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 30, 2014'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Minnesota 1   10.0 Plattsburgh 1
2   8.6 Clarkson 2   9.7 Wis.-River Falls 2
3   8.5 Wisconsin 3   8.8 Elmira 3
4   7.6 North Dakota 4   8.4 Norwich 4
5   7.6 Cornell 5   8.4 Bethel 5
6   7.5 Boston College 6   8.4 Lake Forest 6
7   7.4 Harvard 7   8.4 St. Norbert 7
8   7.2 Mercyhurst 8   8.3 Middlebury 8
9   7.0 Minnesota-Duluth 9   8.3 St. Thomas 9
10   7.0 Quinnipiac 10   8.2 Gustavus Adolphus 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   6.7 Ohio State 11   8.2 Wis.-Superior 11
12   6.7 Robert Morris 12   8.2 St. Scholastica 12
13   6.3 Syracuse 13   8.1 Wis.-Stevens Point 13
14   6.3 Boston University 14   8.0 Adrian 14
15   6.3 Princeton 15   7.7 Amherst 15
16   6.2 Northeastern 16   7.5 Concordia MN 16
17   6.2 Minnesota State 17   7.4 St. Anselm 17
18   6.2 St. Lawrence 18   7.2 Williams 18
19   6.1 Bemidji State 19   6.9 Trinity 19
20   5.8 Vermont 20   6.8 Holy Cross 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   5.7 RIT 21   6.8 Oswego 21
22   5.7 Rensselaer 22   6.7 Castleton 22
23   5.6 St. Cloud State 23   6.5 Salve Regina 23
24   5.3 Dartmouth 24   6.5 St. Mary's 24
25   5.3 Colgate 25   6.4 Utica 25
26   4.8 Brown 26   6.4 Conn. College 26
27   4.8 Providence 27   6.3 Bowdoin 27
28   4.7 New Hampshire 28   6.2 Augsburg 28
29   4.7 Connecticut 29   6.2 St. Catherine 29
30   4.6 Union 30   6.0 Hamilton 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   4.6 Maine 31   6.0 Wesleyan 31
32   4.1 Lindenwood 32   6.0 Mass.-Boston 32
33   3.9 Penn State 33   6.0 Concordia WI 33
34   2.7 Sacred Heart 34   5.9 Colby 34
35   . Yale 35   5.7 Franklin Pierce 35
36   .   .   5.7 Wis.-Eau Claire 36
37   .   .   5.7 Manhattanville 37
38   .   .   5.6 St. Benedict 38
39   .   .   5.5 St. Olaf 39
40   .   .   5.4 Hamline 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   5.2 Marian 41
42   .   .   5.1 Potsdam 42
43   .   .   4.9 Southern Maine 43
44   .   .   4.5 Univ. New England 44
45   .   .   4.3 Neumann 45
46   .   .   4.1 Chatham 46
47   .   .   4.0 Stevenson 47
48   .   .   3.9 SUNY Canton 48
49   .   .   3.8 Cortland 49
50   .   .   3.8 Plymouth State 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.7 Buffalo State 51
52   .   .   3.6 St. Michael's 52
53   .   .   3.4 Nichols 53
54   .   .   3.2 Finlandia 54
55   .   .   2.8 New England College 55