cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 10, 2016'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 North Dakota 2   10.0 Wis.-Stevens Point 1
2   9.9 St. Cloud State 1   9.6 Adrian 2
3   9.6 Quinnipiac 3   9.3 Hobart 3
4   9.5 Boston College 4   9.1 Mass.-Boston 4
5   9.5 Denver 5   9.0 St. Norbert 5
6   9.4 Michigan 7   8.5 Wis.-Eau Claire 6
7   9.4 Providence 6   8.4 Babson 7
8   9.2 Minnesota-Duluth 8   8.4 Geneseo 8
9   8.9 Harvard 9   8.1 Plattsburgh 9
10   8.9 Notre Dame 10   8.0 Williams 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   8.8 Mass.-Lowell 11   8.0 Trinity 11
12   8.7 Northeastern 12   8.0 Buffalo State 12
13   8.6 Boston University 13   7.9 Oswego 13
14   8.6 Yale 14   7.9 Marian 14
15   8.5 Minnesota 15   7.8 Norwich 15
16   8.4 St. Lawrence 16   7.6 Neumann 16
17   8.4 Michigan Tech 17   7.4 St. John's 17
18   8.4 Miami 18   7.4 Utica 18
19   8.3 Nebraska-Omaha 19   7.4 Augsburg 19
20   8.1 Minnesota State 21   7.4 St. Scholastica 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.1 Ohio State 22   7.3 Elmira 21
22   8.1 Penn State 23   7.3 Hamilton 22
23   8.1 Cornell 20   7.3 Bowdoin 23
24   8.0 Bowling Green 24   7.2 St. Thomas 24
25   8.0 Robert Morris 25   7.1 Salve Regina 25
26   7.8 Dartmouth 26   7.1 Wis.-River Falls 26
27   7.8 Clarkson 27   7.1 Tufts 27
28   7.8 Ferris State 30   7.0 New England College 28
29   7.8 Vermont 28   7.0 Salem State 29
30   7.8 Bemidji State 33   7.0 Univ. New England 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   7.8 Union 29   6.9 Nazareth 31
32   7.7 New Hampshire 31   6.8 Middlebury 32
33   7.7 Rensselaer 32   6.8 Colby 33
34   7.6 Michigan State 34   6.7 Brockport 34
35   7.6 Western Michigan 35   6.6 Endicott 35
36   7.5 Air Force 36   6.6 Amherst 36
37   7.5 Merrimack 37   6.6 Manhattanville 37
38   7.4 Northern Michigan 38   6.4 St. Anselm 38
39   7.4 Wisconsin 39   6.4 Nichols 39
40   7.3 Holy Cross 40   6.3 Milw School of Eng 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.2 Colgate 41   6.3 Fredonia 41
42   7.1 Connecticut 43   6.2 Skidmore 42
43   7.1 RIT 42   6.1 Plymouth State 43
44   7.1 Maine 44   6.1 Potsdam 44
45   7.0 Lake Superior 46   6.0 Castleton 45
46   7.0 Colorado College 47   5.9 Johnson and Wales 46
47   7.0 Brown 45   5.8 Hamline 47
48   6.9 Army 48   5.8 Curry 48
49   6.9 Mercyhurst 49   5.7 Wesleyan 49
50   6.8 Princeton 50   5.7 Wis.-Stout 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   6.8 Alaska 52   5.7 Cortland 51
52   6.8 Alaska-Anchorage 53   5.6 Concordia MN 52
53   6.8 Massachusetts 51   5.6 Wis.-Superior 53
54   6.7 Alabama-Huntsville 54   5.5 St. Mary's 54
55   6.6 Bentley 55   5.4 Conn. College 55
56   6.5 Sacred Heart 56   5.4 Lawrence 56
57   6.3 Canisius 57   5.4 Stonehill 57
58   5.8 Niagara 58   5.4 Southern Maine 58
58   5.8 Niagara 58   5.4 Southern Maine 58
59   5.3 American Int'l 59   5.4 Concordia WI 59
.   .   .   .   .
60   5.2 Arizona State 60   5.3 Lake Forest 60
61   .   .   5.2 St. Olaf 61
62   .   .   5.2 Becker 62
63   .   .   5.1 Northland 63
64   .   .   5.1 Morrisville 64
65   .   .   5.1 Suffolk 65
66   .   .   5.1 Gustavus Adolphus 66
67   .   .   5.0 Wentworth 67
68   .   .   4.8 Canton 68
69   .   .   4.8 Westfield State 69
.   .   .   .   .
70   .   .   4.7 Bethel 70
71   .   .   4.7 Fitchburg State 71
72   .   .   4.6 St. Michael's 72
73   .   .   4.4 Assumption 73
74   .   .   4.0 So. New Hampshire 74
75   .   .   3.7 Mass.-Dartmouth 75
76   .   .   3.6 Franklin Pierce 76
77   .   .   3.4 Aurora 77
78   .   .   3.4 Western NE College 78
79   .   .   3.3 Worcester State 79
.   .   .   .   .
80   .   .   3.3 Daniel Webster 80
81   .   .   2.9 Framingham State 81
82   .   .   2.5 Finlandia 82

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 10, 2016'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Minnesota 1   10.0 Plattsburgh 1
2   9.9 Wisconsin 2   8.2 Adrian 2
3   9.8 Boston College 3   7.9 Elmira 3
4   8.6 Clarkson 4   7.8 Amherst 4
5   8.3 Quinnipiac 5   7.8 Lake Forest 5
6   8.0 Northeastern 6   7.7 Wis.-River Falls 6
7   8.0 North Dakota 7   7.3 St. Anselm 7
8   7.6 Princeton 8   7.3 Middlebury 8
9   7.5 Bemidji State 9   6.8 Holy Cross 9
10   7.5 Harvard 10   6.7 St. Thomas 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   7.2 Minnesota-Duluth 11   6.6 Norwich 11
12   7.0 Boston University 12   6.5 Conn. College 12
13   7.0 Mercyhurst 13   6.5 St. Norbert 13
14   6.8 Colgate 14   6.5 Wis.-Stevens Point 14
15   6.8 Syracuse 15   6.5 Utica 15
16   6.7 St. Lawrence 16   6.1 Wis.-Eau Claire 16
17   6.4 Cornell 17   6.0 St. Scholastica 17
18   6.4 Ohio State 18   6.0 Gustavus Adolphus 18
19   6.4 St. Cloud State 19   6.0 Franklin Pierce 19
20   6.3 Robert Morris 20   6.0 Trinity 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   6.0 Rensselaer 21   6.0 Augsburg 21
22   5.9 Yale 22   5.9 Bethel 22
23   5.9 Connecticut 23   5.7 St. Mary's 23
24   5.9 Penn State 24   5.7 Wis.-Superior 24
25   5.9 Dartmouth 25   5.7 Concordia MN 25
26   5.5 Minnesota State 26   5.6 Williams 26
27   5.5 New Hampshire 27   5.4 Castleton 27
28   5.5 Lindenwood 28   5.3 Hamilton 28
29   5.0 Vermont 29   5.2 Concordia WI 29
30   5.0 Maine 30   5.2 Mass.-Boston 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   4.8 Providence 31   5.2 Bowdoin 31
32   4.4 RIT 32   5.2 Oswego 32
33   4.4 Merrimack 33   5.2 Buffalo State 33
34   4.0 Union 34   5.1 St. Catherine 34
35   3.5 Brown 35   4.9 Colby 35
36   -1.3 Sacred Heart 36   4.6 Hamline 36
37   .   .   4.5 Marian 37
38   .   .   4.4 St. Benedict 38
39   .   .   4.2 Univ. New England 39
40   .   .   4.2 Cortland 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   4.1 Stevenson 41
42   .   .   4.0 Potsdam 42
43   .   .   4.0 Salve Regina 43
44   .   .   4.0 William Smith 44
45   .   .   3.9 Chatham 45
46   .   .   3.9 St. Olaf 46
47   .   .   3.8 Wesleyan 47
48   .   .   3.4 Southern Maine 48
49   .   .   3.3 Plymouth State 49
50   .   .   3.2 Manhattanville 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.1 Endicott 51
52   .   .   2.9 Neumann 52
53   .   .   2.7 Morrisville 53
54   .   .   2.2 New England College 54
55   .   .   2.1 St. Michael's 55
56   .   .   1.4 Finlandia 56
57   .   .   1.3 Canton 57
58   .   .   1.1 Becker 58
58   .   .   1.1 Becker 58
59   .   .   0.7 Nichols 59
.   .   .   .   .
60   .   .   -0.3 Salem State 60
61   .   .   -1.1 Johnson & Wales 61
62   .   .   -5.1 Daniel Webster 62