cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 15, 2019'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 St. Cloud State 1   10.0 Geneseo 1
2   9.9 Minnesota-Duluth 3   10.0 Wis.-Stevens Point 2
3   9.5 Massachusetts 2   9.3 St. Norbert 3
4   9.3 Minnesota State 6   9.1 Norwich 4
5   9.3 Denver 7   9.0 Hobart 5
6   9.3 Quinnipiac 4   8.9 Univ. New England 6
7   9.2 Ohio State 8   8.9 Oswego 7
8   9.1 Providence 5   8.5 Augsburg 8
9   9.0 Penn State 10   8.4 Utica 9
10   9.0 Clarkson 9   8.1 Trinity 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   9.0 Notre Dame 11   8.0 Mass.-Boston 11
12   8.9 Bowling Green 13   8.0 Adrian 12
13   8.9 Cornell 12   7.9 Wis.-Eau Claire 13
14   8.9 Western Michigan 14   7.9 Wesleyan 14
15   8.8 Minnesota 15   7.8 New England College 15
16   8.7 Arizona State 16   7.8 Williams 16
17   8.6 Colorado College 19   7.8 Babson 17
18   8.6 Northeastern 17   7.8 Amherst 18
19   8.6 Harvard 18   7.7 Curry 19
20   8.5 Lake Superior 21   7.7 Endicott 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.5 North Dakota 23   7.4 Plattsburgh 21
22   8.5 Michigan 22   7.4 St. John's 22
23   8.5 Mass.-Lowell 20   7.3 Salve Regina 23
24   8.4 Wisconsin 25   7.3 Brockport 24
25   8.4 Boston University 24   7.3 St. Thomas 25
26   8.4 Northern Michigan 26   7.2 Skidmore 26
27   8.2 Michigan State 28   7.2 Wis.-Stout 27
28   8.2 Boston College 27   7.2 Lake Forest 28
29   8.1 Maine 29   7.2 Manhattanville 29
30   8.0 Union 30   7.0 Wis.-River Falls 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.0 Bemidji State 32   7.0 Marian 31
32   8.0 Vermont 31   7.0 Wis.-Superior 32
33   7.9 Nebraska-Omaha 35   6.9 Nichols 33
34   7.9 Yale 33   6.9 Nazareth 34
35   7.8 New Hampshire 34   6.8 Aurora 35
36   7.8 Princeton 36   6.8 Concordia MN 36
37   7.8 Brown 37   6.8 Hamilton 37
38   7.8 Miami 38   6.8 Elmira 38
39   7.7 Michigan Tech 39   6.7 Colby 39
40   7.6 American Int'l 40   6.6 Fredonia 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.6 Dartmouth 41   6.6 Middlebury 41
42   7.4 Connecticut 42   6.6 Plymouth State 42
43   7.4 Bentley 43   6.5 Milw School of Eng 43
44   7.3 RIT 44   6.5 Northland 44
45   7.3 Ferris State 47   6.5 Buffalo State 45
46   7.2 Alaska 48   6.5 Wilkes 46
47   7.2 Air Force 46   6.5 Potsdam 47
48   7.2 Sacred Heart 45   6.4 Canton 48
49   7.0 Rensselaer 49   6.4 Gustavus Adolphus 49
50   6.9 Niagara 51   6.3 St. Mary's 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   6.9 Mercyhurst 52   6.3 Trine 51
52   6.9 Merrimack 50   6.2 St. Scholastica 52
53   6.8 Robert Morris 53   6.2 Mass.-Dartmouth 53
54   6.7 Alabama-Huntsville 55   6.2 Concordia WI 54
55   6.7 Holy Cross 54   6.2 Neumann 55
56   6.7 Canisius 56   6.1 Tufts 56
57   6.6 Colgate 57   6.0 Stevenson 57
58   6.6 Army 58   5.9 Conn. College 58
59   6.3 St. Lawrence 59   5.9 Suffolk 59
60   6.0 Alaska-Anchorage 60   5.8 Finlandia 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   5.8 Fitchburg State 61
62   .   .   5.7 So. New Hampshire 62
63   .   .   5.6 St. Anselm 63
64   .   .   5.6 Cortland 64
65   .   .   5.6 Wentworth 65
66   .   .   5.4 Westfield State 66
67   .   .   5.4 Southern Maine 67
68   .   .   5.3 Worcester State 68
69   .   .   5.3 St. Olaf 69
70   .   .   5.3 Bowdoin 70
.   .   .   .   .
71   .   .   5.2 Lawrence 71
72   .   .   5.2 Hamline 72
73   .   .   5.2 Assumption 73
74   .   .   5.2 Lebanon Valley 74
75   .   .   5.0 Bethel 75
76   .   .   5.0 Morrisville 76
77   .   .   5.0 Johnson and Wales 77
78   .   .   5.0 Castleton 78
79   .   .   4.7 St. Michael's 79
80   .   .   4.7 Salem State 80
.   .   .   .   .
81   .   .   4.6 Stonehill 81
82   .   .   4.5 Bryn Athyn 82
83   .   .   4.4 Western NE College 83
84   .   .   4.3 Chatham 84
85   .   .   4.0 Post 85
86   .   .   3.5 Franklin Pierce 86
87   .   .   3.4 Anna Maria 87
88   .   .   2.8 Becker 88
89   .   .   2.8 Framingham State 89
90   .   .   2.5 Kings 90
.   .   .   .   .

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Apr 15, 2019'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Wisconsin 1   10.0 Plattsburgh 1
2   9.5 Minnesota 2   8.6 Elmira 2
3   8.1 Boston College 3   8.4 Hamline 3
4   8.0 Clarkson 4   8.1 St. Thomas 4
5   8.0 Northeastern 5   8.0 Wis.-Eau Claire 5
6   7.9 Ohio State 6   8.0 Wis.-River Falls 6
7   7.7 Boston University 7   7.8 Adrian 7
8   7.7 Princeton 8   7.7 Williams 8
9   7.5 Minnesota-Duluth 9   7.5 Middlebury 9
10   7.5 Cornell 10   7.3 Norwich 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   7.3 Providence 11   7.2 Gustavus Adolphus 11
12   7.3 Colgate 12   6.9 St. Scholastica 12
13   7.1 Merrimack 13   6.9 Hamilton 13
14   6.9 Bemidji State 14   6.6 Endicott 14
15   6.8 Harvard 15   6.6 Augsburg 15
16   6.8 Minnesota State 16   6.5 Lake Forest 16
17   6.6 Quinnipiac 17   6.3 Amherst 17
18   6.4 Robert Morris 18   6.3 William Smith 18
19   6.4 New Hampshire 19   6.2 Colby 19
20   6.3 St. Lawrence 20   6.1 Morrisville 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   6.3 Maine 21   6.0 Conn. College 21
22   6.2 St. Cloud State 22   5.9 Manhattanville 22
23   6.2 Mercyhurst 23   5.9 Trinity 23
24   6.1 Penn State 24   5.8 Nazareth 24
25   6.1 Connecticut 25   5.6 Cortland 25
26   5.8 Syracuse 26   5.5 Utica 26
27   5.8 Vermont 27   5.5 Oswego 27
28   5.5 St. Anselm 28   5.4 Wis.-Superior 28
29   5.4 Yale 29   5.3 Bowdoin 29
30   5.3 RIT 30   5.3 Wesleyan 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   5.3 Rensselaer 31   5.3 Potsdam 31
32   5.0 Lindenwood 32   5.3 Univ. New England 32
33   4.5 Dartmouth 33   5.0 Nichols 33
34   4.0 Brown 34   4.9 Mass.-Boston 34
35   3.9 Union 35   4.9 St. Catherine 35
36   3.8 Sacred Heart 36   4.9 Concordia WI 36
37   3.8 Franklin Pierce 37   4.9 Buffalo State 37
38   3.6 Holy Cross 38   4.7 Suffolk 38
39   0.9 St. Michael's 39   4.7 Bethel 39
40   -1.8 Post 40   4.7 St. Mary's 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   4.5 Concordia MN 41
42   .   .   4.5 St. Benedict 42
43   .   .   4.5 Canton 43
44   .   .   4.3 Wis.-Stevens Point 44
45   .   .   4.3 Castleton 45
46   .   .   4.3 Trine 46
47   .   .   4.1 Northland 47
48   .   .   4.1 St. Norbert 48
49   .   .   3.9 Plymouth State 49
50   .   .   3.9 Southern Maine 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.8 Johnson & Wales 51
52   .   .   3.8 Aurora 52
53   .   .   3.6 Neumann 53
54   .   .   3.5 Stevenson 54
55   .   .   3.5 Marian 55
56   .   .   3.5 Salve Regina 56
57   .   .   3.3 St. Olaf 57
58   .   .   3.2 Salem State 58
59   .   .   3.1 Becker 59
60   .   .   2.7 Chatham 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   2.2 New England College 61
62   .   .   1.7 Finlandia 62
63   .   .   1.5 Lebanon Valley 63
64   .   .   -0.4 Anna Maria 64
65   .   .   -0.5 Wilkes 65
66   .   .   -1.1 Kings 66