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Interesting Papers (links disabled; papers posted to Canvas)

Gut Check by Sharon Begley (STATnews)

• ...homepage
• Antioxidants: Promoting health or fueling cancer? (11/05/15)
• Will coffee drinking extend your life? (11/16/15)
• Christmas suicide is a myth... but what about the January rebound? (12/30/12)
• Did David Bowie delay death? (01/11/16)
• Does smoking pot actually make you stupid? (01/19/16)
• Does exercise keep the brain young? (03/18/2016)
• Does skipping breakfast make you gain weight? (04/29/2016)
• ‘The Biggest Loser’ shows the complexity of keeping weight off (05/16/2016)
• Does exercise prevent cancer (05/16/2016)
• Could going to college or being married give you brain cancer? (06/20/2016)
• Does access to medical marijuana reduce opioid deaths? (09/14/2016)
• Do cancer clinical trials exaggerate the real-world benefits of drugs? (11/21/2016)
• Does having children help you live past 80? (03/27/2017)
• Does living in a city make you psychotic? (05/30/2017)
• Does breastfeeding prevent moms’ heart disease and strokes? (06/21/2017)
• A new study claims prostate cancer screenings significantly reduce deaths. Not everyone agrees (09/04/2017)
• Will a vegetarian diet during pregnancy drive your child to drugs and drink? (10/05/2017)
• Does exercise burn more calories in the cold than in warm weather? (12/20/2017)
• Too good to be true? Experts clash on whether hitting the gym helps the brain (01/19/2018)
• New alcohol-advertising research stopped with NIH branch director’s arrival (04/04/2018)
• Controversial NIH study of ‘moderate drinking’ will be terminated after scathing report (06/15/2018)
• Health researcher calls on NIH to retract statement about alcohol and cancer risk (09/13/2018)

Red Meat

• Red Meat Consumption and Mortality.pdf
• When Risk Is a Red-Meat Issue - WSJ 3 23 12.pdf
• Red Meat Can Be Unhealthy, Study Suggests.pdf

Cell Phones and Texting

• Accidents and CA Cell Phone Ban.pdf
• Driving and Cell Phone Bans.pdf
• Impact of Cell Phone Bans.pdf
• Cell Phone Deaths Down.pdf
• Memo Cell Phone Ban.pdf
• Texting Bans News Release 9 28 2010.pdf
• Texting Ban Status Report.pdf
• Texting Laws and Collision Claims.pdf

Crime, Gun Control and the Death Penalty

• [Donohue and Wolfers 2006] Empirical Evidence in the Death Penalty Debate.pdf
• Wolfers Death Penalty link
• Donohue and Wolfers Death Penalty Data.zip
• Justin Wolfers' Research Data
• [Dills et al 2010] What do Economists Know About Crime?.pdf
• [Moody 2009] Firearms Homicides.pdf
• [Leavitt 2004] Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990's.pdf
• [Aneja et al 2012] Impact of Right to Carry laws.pdf
• [Morris et al 2014] Medical Marijuana and Crime.pdf

Broken Windows

• NYPD Might Prove Broken Windows Is A Sham - BI 12.31.2014.pdf
• [Kelling & Souza 2001] Do Police Matter? An Analysis of the Impact of New York City’s Police Reforms
• [Sousa Kelling 2004] Broken Windows - Criminology and Criminal Justice.pdf
• [Harcourt Ludwig 2006] Broken Windows - New Evidence from NYC.pdf
• [Messner et al 2007] Policing Drug Homicide Decline.pdf
• [Greenberg 2014] Studying NYC's Crime Decline: Methodological Issues

Body Fat and the Body Mass Index (BMI)

• Predicting Bodyfat Using the BMI.pdf
• Bodyfat Data.pdf
• Fitting Percent of BodyFat.pdf
• BMI and Mortality JAMA Jan 2 2013.pdf
• BMI Mortality Medscape Jan 1 2013.pdf
• [Bhaskaran et al 2014] Body-mass Index and Cancer
• [Tomiyama et al 2016] BMI Misclassification of Cardiometabolic Health
• [Deb Vargas 2016] BMI and Calorie Labeling.pdf

Child Obesity and School Food

• Children and Obesity.pdf
• Obesity and School Food.pdf
• Sweetened Beverages in Schools.pdf
• State Laws School Food.pdf
• School Food Programs - No Impact.pdf
• [Madsen 2011] CA Obesity Letters.pdf

Forecasting Election Outcomes

... Nate Silver
• 538 Politics
• Forecasts: 2014 Midterms
• What I got Wrong in 2014
• ... how the model works     ...works II     ...works III
... Ray Fair
• The 2016 Fair Model
• [Fair 2014] Presidential and Conressional Vote-Share Equations
• [Fair 1996] Econometrics and Presidential Elections
... data
• [Leip] Atlas of US Presidential Elections (1856 - current)
• Real Clear Politics
• Forecasting Principles ...ForPrin.com
• PollyVote - Election Forecasting
• intrade - Prediction Markets
• betfair - US Politics Betting
... survey papers
• [Bartels 1997] Econometrics and Presidential Elections.pdf
• [Campbell and Lewis-Beck 2008] US Presidential Election Forecasting - An Introduction
• [Jones Cuzan 2008] Forecasting US Presidential Elections.pdf
• [Holbrook 2010] Forecasting US Presidential Elections
... other papers
• Five Easy Pieces 9/2/2012.pdf
• [Hibbs 2012] The 2012 US Presidential Election: The Bread and Peace Model
• [Hibbs 2012] Bread and Peace and Bread and Incumbency Models ppt
• [Jerome and Speziari 2011] Forecasting the 2012 US Presidential Election    ...pdf 2
• [Lewis-Beck and Tien 2004] Jobs and the Job of President
• [Cuzan 2012] Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election - Fiscal Model
• [DeSart and Holbrook 2008] A Tale of Two Models
• [Berry and Bickers 2012?] Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election (Stat-Level Economic Data}

SAT Validity Studies

• [Kobrin et al 2011] MLR Models and SAT Validity.pdf
• [Mattern Peterson 2012] SAT Validity 2nd Yr Retention.pdf
• [Patterson Mattern 2012] SAT Validity 1st Yr GPAs.pdf
• [Patterson Mattern 2013] SAT Validity 1st Yr GPAs.pdf
• [Mattern et al 2013] SAT Validity Graduation.pdf
• [Mattern Peterson 2014] Synthesis of Recent SAT Validity Findings.pdf
• [Zwick and Green 2007] SATs Socioeconomic Factors and Pooled Data.pdf
• [Sackett et al 2012] SATs Socioeconomic Factors Grades and Admissions.pdf
• [Shaw 2015] SAT Validity Primer.pdf

Gentrification

• [Badger NYTimes 1.5.2017] How to Predict Gentrification.pdf
• [Ellen Horn Reed 2016] Falling Crime and Gentrification.pdf
• [Wang Lin 2016] Gentrification Survey.pdf
• [Freeman 2016] Commentary -21st Century Gentrification.pdf
• [Hyra 2016] Commentary - Causes and Consequences of Gentrification.pdf

Incarceration Lengths, Employment/Earnings and Recidivism

• [Hunt Peterson 2014] Recidivism Among Offenders Receiving Retroactive Sentence Reductions v1.pdf
• ... v2.pdf
• [Monnery 2016] Sentence Reductions and Recidivism After Prison.pdf
• [Mueller-Smith 2014] Criminal and Labor Market Impacts of Incarceration.pdf
• [Kuziemko 2013] How Should Inmates be Released.pdf
• [Abrams 2010] The Effect of Incarceration Length on Recidivism.pdf
• [Chen Shapiro 2007] Do Harsher Prison Conditions Reduce Crime.pdf
• [Kling 2006] Incarceration Length, Employment and Earnings.pdf

Misc

• [Munnell et al 1992] Discrimination in Mortgage Lending.pdf
• [Kuncel and Hezlett 2007] Standardized Tests and Grad School Success.pdf
• [Corbett and Hill 2012] AAUW Graduating to a Pay Gap Report.pdf
• [Kolesnikova and Liu 2012] The Gender Wage Gap.pdf
• [Miron Tetelbaum 2007] Min Drink Age Saves Lives... not.pdf


• [Danaher Smith 2013] Gone in 60 Secs.pdf
• [Danaher 2013] U MN Presentation.pdf
• [Fair 1994] Old Men Slow Down.pdf
• [Fair 2006] Age Effects.pdf
• [Avery et al 2013] Ranking Colleges.pdf


• [Avery et al 2013] Ranking Colleges Appndx.pdf
• [Fredriksson et al 2013] Long Term Effects of Class Size.pdf
• [Fairlie & Robinson 2013] Home Computers & Educ.pdf
• [Baiker et al 2013] Oregon Experiment & Medicaid.pdf
• [Dockery et al 1993] Air Pollution & Mortality.pdf


• [Kanazawa Perina 2009] Night Owls are More Intelligent.pdf
• [Figlio Shapiro Soter 2013] Tenure Track Teachers.pdf
• [Lelong et al 2014] Salt and Blood Pressure.pdf
• [Francis and Mialon 2014] Diamonds are Forever... not.pdf
• [Harris Larsen 2015] What Schools Do Families Want (and Why).pdf    NPR story


• [Kleisner et al 2014] Perceived v Actual Intelligence.pdf
• [Song 2013] Media Markets, Politicians and Scandals.pdf
• [Wasserman et al 2015] MLB Concussions.pdf
• [Kromhout et al 2000] All Cause Mortality Rates - Seven Countries Study.pdf
• [Aguiar and Waldfogel 2015] Spotify and Music Sales.pdf


• [Hsin Xie 2015] Parenting Matters.pdf
• [Zhou et al 2006] Risk Factors for Infant Maltreatment.pdf
• [Cash 2001] Risk Assessment in Child Welfare.pdf
• [DeAngelo Hansen 2011] Police Enforcement and Traffic Fatalities.pdf
• [Smith 2016] Spring Forward at Your Own Risk.pdf


• [Kalesan et al 2016] Firearm Legislation and Mortality.pdf
• ... Comment by David Hemenway
• [Tsugawa et al 2016] Mortality and Readmission Rates - Male v Female Physicians.pdf
• ... Supplemental Tables.pdf
• [Ding et al & Hu 2015] Coffee Consumption and Mortality.pdf


• [ODonovan et al 2017] Exercise and Mortality - Weekend Warriors.pdf   AP   JAMA
• [Acemoglu and Restrepo 2017] Robots and Jobs (US).pdf
• [Arcidiacono et al 2017] Productivity Spillovers in Team Production (NBA).pdf
• [Eagly and Shafer 2015] Counsel in Immigration Court.pdf
• [Olafsdottir Asgeirsdottir and Norton 2017] Valuing Pain.pdf


• [Espenshade et al 2004] Admission Preferences.pdf   AP   JAMA
• [Videon et al 2003] Importance of Family Meals.pdf
• [Gavrilova et al 2017] Medical Marijuana and Crime in Border States.pdf
• [Jones Zipperer 2018] No Employment Growth from Amazon Fulfillment Centers.pdf
• [Askin and Mauskapf 2017] Alexa, Take me to Funkytown.pdf

Students for Fair Admissions, Inc. v. Harvard

• Plaintiff's Complaint.pdf
• [Arcidiacono 2018a] Plaintiff's Expert's Report.pdf
• [Card 2018] Defendant's Expert's Reply.pdf
• [Arcidiacono 2018b] Plaintiff's Expert's Rebuttal Report.pdf
• Memorandi in support of Summary Judgment motions: ... Plaintiff's ... Defendant's


• [Arcidiacono et al 2019] Time Path of Legacy and Athlete Admissions at Harvard.pdf
• [Arcidiacono et al 2019] Legacy and Athlete Preferences at Harvard.pdf


• [Angrist and Pischke 2017] Undergraduate Econometrics Instruction - Through our Classes Darkly.pdf
• [Sadler Sonnert 2018] The Path to College Calculus - The Impact of High School Mathematics Coursework.pdf
• [Bramoulle Ductor 2018] Title Length Matters.pdf
• [Billari Giuntella Stella 2018] Broadband Access and Sleep Deprivation.pdf
• [Washington 2008] Daughters Affect Legislator Voting.pdf



Marijuana Legalization and Traffic Accidents/Fatalities

• [Anderson Hansen Rees 2013] Medical Marijuana Traffic Fatalities and Alcohol.pdf
• [Li Brady Chen 2013] Drug Use and Fatal Motor Vehicle Crashes.pdf
• [Romano et al 2014] Drugs and Alcohol - Relative Crash Risk.pdf
• [HLDI 2017] Marijuana and collision claims.pdf
• [Aydelotte et al 2017] Crash Fatality Rates After Recreational Marijuana Legalization in Washington and Colorado.pdf
• [Santaella-Tenorio et al 2017] Traffic Fatalities and Medical Marijuana.pdf
• [Romano et al 2017] Marijuana and Risk of Fatal Car Crashes.pdf
• [Staples Redelmeier 2018] April 20 Traffic Fatalities.pdf
• [Hansen Miller Weber 2018] Marijuana Use and Traffic Fatalities.pdf



• [Hughes and Lam 2017] Ideology and Facebook Followers.pdf  link  methodology
• [Clark et al 2018] Ideology and Strategic SCOTUS Voting.pdf
• [Cohen Fiszer and Kim 2018] Frustration-Based Promotion.pdf
• [Halperin et al 2018] Sorry Seems to be the Hardest Word.pdf
• [Blau and Kahn 2016] The Gender Wage Gap.pdf


• [Wiswall Zafar 2016] Preference for the Workplace, Human Capital and Gender.pdf
• [Bollyky et al 2019] Democracy Health and Mortality.pdf



Immigration and Crime

• [Ousey and Kubrin 2017] Immigration and Crime: Assessing a Contentious Issue.pdf
• [Adelman et al 2017] Urban Crime Rates and Immigration: Evidence across four decades.pdf
• [Maciag 2017] Analysis Undocumented Immigrants and Crime.pdf
• [Levitt 2004] Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990s: Four Factors that Explain the Decline and Six that Do Not.pdf
• [Light and Miller 2018] Does Undocumented Immigration Increase Violent Crime?.pdf
• [Nowrasteh 2018] Criminal Immigrants in Texas.pdf



AI and Machine Learning

• [Athey 2018] Impact of Machine Learning on Economics.pdf
• [Fern ´andez-Villaverde 2018] Lectures on Machine Learning for Economists.pdf
• [Mullainathan and Spiess 2017] Machine Learning - An Applied Econometric Approach.pdf
• [Silva 2017] Causal Inference in Machine Learning.pdf
• [Varian 2014] Machine Learning and Econometrics.pdf



Ridesharing: Uber and Lyft

• [Brazil and Kirk 2016] Uber and Traffic Fatalities.pdf
• [Cohen Hahn Hall Levitt and Metcalfe 2016] Consumer Surplus and Uber.pdf
• [Martin-Buck 2016] Driving Safety Ridesharings Impact on Drunk Driving and Crime.pdf
• [Greenwood and Wattal 2017] Uber and Drunk Driving.pdf
• [Barrios Hochberg and Yi 2018] Ridesharing and Traffic Fatalities.pdf
• [Dills and Mulholland 2018] Ride Sharing Fatal Crashes and Crime.pdf



Taking the Con Out of Econometrics

• [Leamer 1983] Lets Take the Con Out of Econometrics.pdf
• [McAleer Pagan Volker 1985] What Will Take the Con Out of Econometrics.pdf
• [Leamer 1985] Sensitivity Analysis Would Help.pdf
• [Hendry 1980] Econometrics - Alchemy or Science.pdf
• [Sims 1980] Macroeconomics and Reality.pdf


• [Angrist and Pischke 2010] The Credibility Revolution in Empirical Economics.pdf
• [Leamer 2010] Tantalus on the Road to Asymptopia.pdf
• [Keane 2010] A Structural Perspective on the Experimentalist School.pdf
• [Stock 2010] Robust Tools for Inference.pdf
• [Sims 2010] But Economics is Not an Experimental Science.pdf
• [Nevo Whinston 2010] Taking Dogma out of Econometrics.pdf



Smartphones Make You Stupid

• [Baert et al Forthcoming] Smartphone Use and Academic Performance.pdf
• [Kates et al 2018] Mobile Phone Use and Academic Performance.pdf
• [Han Yi 2019] College Students Smartphones and Academic Performance.pdf
• [Duke and Montag 2017] Smartphone Addiction Interruptions and Productivity.pdf
• [Ward et al 2017] Smartphones and Brain Drain.pdf


• [Hawi Samaha 2016] Adverse Effect of Smartphone Addiction on Academic Performance.pdf
• [Samaha and Hawi 2016] Smartphone Addiction Stress and Academic Performance.pdf
• [Chen Yan 2016] Multitasking Mobile Phones and Learning.pdf
• [Lepp et al 2014] Cell Phone Use Anxiety Academic Performance and Satisfaction.pdf


• [Ekelund et al 2019] Physical Activity and Mortality.pdf
• [Macnamara et al 2019] The Role of Deliberate Practice in Expert Performance.pdf
• [Macnamara et al 2019] Supplemental Material.pdf
• [Ericsson et al 1993] The Role of Deliberate Practice.pdf

© Chris Maxwell 2010-