cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 04, 2019'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 St. Cloud State 1   10.0 Geneseo 1
2   9.7 Massachusetts 2   9.7 Wis.-Stevens Point 2
3   9.6 Quinnipiac 4   9.4 St. Norbert 3
4   9.5 Minnesota-Duluth 3   8.9 Oswego 5
5   9.5 Minnesota State 6   8.9 Hobart 4
6   9.5 Ohio State 5   8.7 Univ. New England 7
7   9.2 Providence 7   8.6 Norwich 6
8   9.1 Notre Dame 8   8.3 Utica 8
9   9.1 Denver 9   8.3 Augsburg 9
10   9.0 Penn State 12   8.1 Trinity 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   8.9 Clarkson 10   8.0 Mass.-Boston 11
12   8.9 Harvard 13   7.9 Adrian 12
13   8.8 Minnesota 20   7.8 Wesleyan 13
14   8.8 Cornell 16   7.8 Wis.-Eau Claire 14
15   8.8 Arizona State 11   7.7 Williams 15
16   8.7 Bowling Green 15   7.7 New England College 18
17   8.7 Northeastern 17   7.6 Babson 17
18   8.7 Mass.-Lowell 14   7.6 Amherst 16
19   8.7 Colorado College 19   7.5 Curry 19
20   8.6 Michigan 21   7.5 Endicott 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.6 Western Michigan 18   7.3 Plattsburgh 22
22   8.6 Northern Michigan 24   7.3 Brockport 24
23   8.6 North Dakota 22   7.2 St. John's 21
24   8.5 Lake Superior 23   7.1 Salve Regina 23
25   8.4 Wisconsin 25   7.1 St. Thomas 25
26   8.4 Michigan State 26   7.1 Lake Forest 26
27   8.3 Boston University 27   7.1 Skidmore 27
28   8.1 Bemidji State 28   7.0 Manhattanville 29
29   8.0 Maine 30   7.0 Wis.-Stout 28
30   8.0 Vermont 29   6.9 Marian 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.0 Boston College 33   6.9 Wis.-River Falls 31
32   8.0 Union 32   6.8 Wis.-Superior 32
33   8.0 Miami 34   6.8 Nazareth 33
34   8.0 New Hampshire 37   6.7 Aurora 34
35   7.9 Yale 31   6.7 Nichols 35
36   7.9 Princeton 39   6.7 Elmira 36
37   7.8 Michigan Tech 36   6.7 Hamilton 38
38   7.8 Nebraska-Omaha 38   6.6 Concordia MN 37
39   7.7 Brown 35   6.6 Colby 39
40   7.6 Dartmouth 41   6.6 Fredonia 40
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.5 American Int'l 40   6.5 Middlebury 41
42   7.5 Bentley 42   6.5 Milw School of Eng 42
43   7.3 Connecticut 46   6.4 Northland 43
44   7.3 Air Force 45   6.4 Potsdam 44
45   7.3 Sacred Heart 47   6.4 Buffalo State 45
46   7.3 Ferris State 48   6.4 Wilkes 46
47   7.3 RIT 43   6.4 Canton 47
48   7.3 Rensselaer 44   6.3 Gustavus Adolphus 48
49   7.2 Alaska 50   6.2 Plymouth State 54
50   7.0 Mercyhurst 49   6.2 Trine 49
.   .   .   .   .
51   6.9 Merrimack 51   6.2 St. Mary's 50
52   6.8 Colgate 52   6.2 St. Scholastica 51
53   6.8 Niagara 54   6.1 Concordia WI 52
54   6.7 Alabama-Huntsville 55   6.0 Neumann 53
55   6.7 Holy Cross 53   6.0 Mass.-Dartmouth 55
56   6.6 Canisius 56   5.9 Tufts 56
57   6.5 Robert Morris 58   5.9 Stevenson 57
58   6.5 Army 57   5.8 Finlandia 58
59   6.3 St. Lawrence 59   5.7 Conn. College 59
60   6.0 Alaska-Anchorage 60   5.7 Suffolk 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   5.6 Cortland 61
62   .   .   5.5 So. New Hampshire 64
63   .   .   5.5 Fitchburg State 63
64   .   .   5.5 St. Anselm 62
65   .   .   5.4 Wentworth 66
66   .   .   5.2 Southern Maine 68
67   .   .   5.2 Westfield State 65
68   .   .   5.2 Lawrence 69
69   .   .   5.1 Bowdoin 70
70   .   .   5.1 St. Olaf 71
.   .   .   .   .
71   .   .   5.1 Lebanon Valley 72
72   .   .   5.0 Worcester State 67
73   .   .   5.0 Hamline 73
74   .   .   5.0 Assumption 74
75   .   .   4.9 Morrisville 75
76   .   .   4.9 Bethel 76
77   .   .   4.8 Johnson and Wales 77
78   .   .   4.8 Castleton 78
79   .   .   4.6 St. Michael's 79
80   .   .   4.4 Salem State 82
.   .   .   .   .
81   .   .   4.4 Bryn Athyn 80
82   .   .   4.4 Stonehill 81
83   .   .   4.2 Western NE College 83
84   .   .   4.2 Chatham 84
85   .   .   3.8 Post 85
86   .   .   3.4 Franklin Pierce 86
87   .   .   3.3 Anna Maria 87
88   .   .   2.6 Becker 88
89   .   .   2.5 Framingham State 89
90   .   .   2.4 Kings 90
.   .   .   .   .

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Mar 04, 2019'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Wisconsin 2   10.0 Plattsburgh 1
2   9.9 Minnesota 1   8.9 St. Thomas 3
3   8.6 Clarkson 3   8.8 Wis.-River Falls 2
4   8.5 Northeastern 5   8.8 Hamline 4
5   8.4 Boston College 4   8.7 Wis.-Eau Claire 6
6   8.4 Boston University 7   8.7 Elmira 5
7   8.3 Princeton 9   8.0 Adrian 7
8   8.2 Ohio State 8   7.9 Gustavus Adolphus 8
9   8.1 Cornell 6   7.4 Middlebury 9
10   7.9 Colgate 10   7.4 Williams 10
.   .   .   .   .
11   7.9 Minnesota-Duluth 11   7.4 St. Scholastica 11
12   7.9 Providence 12   7.3 Norwich 12
13   7.6 Merrimack 13   7.2 Augsburg 13
14   7.3 Harvard 14   7.0 Lake Forest 14
15   7.3 Bemidji State 15   6.8 Hamilton 15
16   7.1 Quinnipiac 16   6.3 Endicott 17
17   7.1 Minnesota State 17   6.3 William Smith 16
18   7.0 Robert Morris 21   6.2 Amherst 18
19   6.9 New Hampshire 19   6.1 Colby 19
20   6.9 St. Lawrence 18   6.0 Wis.-Superior 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   6.8 Maine 20   6.0 Morrisville 21
22   6.8 Mercyhurst 23   5.9 Manhattanville 25
23   6.6 Connecticut 24   5.9 Conn. College 23
24   6.6 St. Cloud State 22   5.8 Trinity 24
25   6.6 Penn State 25   5.8 Nazareth 22
26   6.3 Vermont 26   5.5 Cortland 26
27   6.0 St. Anselm 29   5.5 Utica 27
28   5.9 Yale 30   5.5 St. Catherine 28
29   5.9 RIT 28   5.4 Oswego 29
30   5.9 Syracuse 27   5.4 Concordia WI 30
.   .   .   .   .
31   5.8 Rensselaer 31   5.3 Bethel 31
32   5.6 Lindenwood 32   5.3 St. Mary's 34
33   5.1 Dartmouth 33   5.2 Potsdam 32
34   4.5 Brown 34   5.2 Bowdoin 33
35   4.4 Union 35   5.2 Wesleyan 35
36   4.4 Sacred Heart 36   5.1 Concordia MN 37
37   4.3 Franklin Pierce 37   5.1 Univ. New England 36
38   4.1 Holy Cross 38   5.1 St. Benedict 38
39   1.4 St. Michael's 39   5.0 Wis.-Stevens Point 40
40   -1.2 Post 40   4.9 Nichols 39
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   4.8 Mass.-Boston 41
42   .   .   4.8 Buffalo State 42
43   .   .   4.7 Trine 44
44   .   .   4.7 Suffolk 43
45   .   .   4.6 Northland 45
46   .   .   4.5 St. Norbert 46
47   .   .   4.3 Canton 47
48   .   .   4.2 Castleton 48
49   .   .   4.2 Aurora 49
50   .   .   3.9 Marian 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.9 St. Olaf 52
52   .   .   3.9 Plymouth State 51
53   .   .   3.8 Southern Maine 53
54   .   .   3.7 Johnson & Wales 54
55   .   .   3.5 Neumann 55
56   .   .   3.5 Stevenson 56
57   .   .   3.3 Salve Regina 57
58   .   .   3.1 Salem State 58
59   .   .   3.0 Becker 59
60   .   .   2.8 Chatham 60
.   .   .   .   .
61   .   .   2.2 Finlandia 61
62   .   .   2.1 New England College 62
63   .   .   1.4 Lebanon Valley 63
64   .   .   -0.5 Anna Maria 64
65   .   .   -0.6 Wilkes 65
66   .   .   -1.2 Kings 66