cMax Ice Hockey Notes

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cMax: Collegiate Ice Hockey Ratings

For a comparison to other rankings (Dolphin, KRACH, Lock, Massey, Rutter, Wilson and Wobus) go here: Mens Rankings   Womens Rankings.

The cMax model is a goals/pts model. Differences in cMax ratings tell you predicted goal differentials if two teams were to play a large number of games under many different circumstances, on neutral ice. So, for instance, if Team A has a cMax rating of 9.2 and Team B has a rating of 8.8, the model predicts that A will beat B on average by 0.4 (9.2 - 8.8) goals. I have other models that look only at wins/losses/ties and not scores... but those models require more data for reliable forecasts, and so they (I should say one, the winMax model) will be rolled out later in the season. The best forecasts combine both types of models: goals/pts models and wins/losses models.

Click on Details and By Conf below to get lots of stats, including records and notable wins and losses. Notes about the methodology and links to other ratings sites are here. Questions/Comments/Complaints/Suggestions: cMax (chrisMaxwell)

SAS Output
cMax Men's Ratings: Games thru 'Feb 18, 2018'
DI: Details - by Conf || DIII: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DIII Last
Wk
1   10.0 St. Cloud State 1   10.0 Adrian 1
2   9.7 Denver 2   10.0 Salve Regina 4
3   9.7 Minnesota State 5   9.9 Hobart 6
4   9.6 Cornell 3   9.8 St. Norbert 2
5   9.4 Clarkson 4   9.7 Endicott 7
6   9.4 Minnesota-Duluth 7   9.7 Geneseo 5
7   9.4 Notre Dame 6   9.5 Oswego 3
8   9.2 Ohio State 8   9.4 Univ. New England 8
9   9.1 Minnesota 9   9.3 Mass.-Boston 9
10   9.1 Northeastern 10   9.1 Utica 11
.   .   .   .   .
11   9.0 Providence 11   8.9 Norwich 13
12   8.9 North Dakota 12   8.9 Trinity 10
13   8.9 Harvard 19   8.8 Buffalo State 12
14   8.8 Michigan 14   8.7 Wis.-Stevens Point 14
15   8.7 Union 21   8.7 Marian 15
16   8.7 Penn State 13   8.6 Plymouth State 17
17   8.7 Wisconsin 15   8.5 Babson 16
18   8.7 Western Michigan 16   8.4 Hamilton 18
19   8.7 Nebraska-Omaha 17   8.3 Curry 19
20   8.7 Boston College 24   8.2 Lake Forest 22
.   .   .   .   .
21   8.6 Boston University 20   8.2 Colby 23
22   8.5 Bowling Green 22   8.2 Plattsburgh 25
23   8.5 Maine 18   8.2 New England College 21
24   8.4 Mass.-Lowell 23   8.1 Nichols 26
25   8.3 Connecticut 27   8.1 Amherst 20
26   8.3 Princeton 26   8.0 Manhattanville 24
27   8.3 Bemidji State 29   7.9 Williams 28
28   8.3 Yale 31   7.9 Wesleyan 29
29   8.3 Quinnipiac 28   7.8 Wis.-Eau Claire 30
30   8.2 New Hampshire 30   7.8 Augsburg 27
.   .   .   .   .
31   8.2 Miami 25   7.8 Fitchburg State 34
32   8.2 Colorado College 34   7.7 Concordia WI 31
33   8.2 Colgate 33   7.6 Fredonia 36
34   8.1 Michigan Tech 35   7.6 St. John's 33
35   8.1 Northern Michigan 36   7.5 St. Scholastica 35
36   8.1 Massachusetts 32   7.4 Elmira 32
37   8.0 Merrimack 37   7.4 Conn. College 39
38   7.9 Michigan State 38   7.3 Milw School of Eng 38
39   7.9 Dartmouth 39   7.3 St. Thomas 37
40   7.8 Air Force 43   7.2 Stevenson 41
.   .   .   .   .
41   7.7 Vermont 41   7.2 Cortland 44
42   7.7 Mercyhurst 40   7.1 Potsdam 40
43   7.6 Alaska 45   7.1 Wentworth 42
44   7.6 Canisius 42   7.1 Northland 43
45   7.5 Army 48   7.0 Brockport 47
46   7.5 Holy Cross 46   6.9 Lawrence 52
47   7.5 RIT 49   6.8 Salem State 49
48   7.5 St. Lawrence 44   6.8 Skidmore 50
49   7.5 Robert Morris 47   6.8 Tufts 51
50   7.4 Alabama-Huntsville 50   6.7 Gustavus Adolphus 55
.   .   .   .   .
51   7.3 Brown 52   6.7 Bowdoin 45
52   7.3 Bentley 51   6.7 Worcester State 46
53   7.2 Sacred Heart 54   6.6 Lebanon Valley 56
54   7.2 Arizona State 55   6.5 Nazareth 48
55   7.1 Rensselaer 53   6.5 St. Anselm 60
56   7.1 Ferris State 56   6.4 Neumann 53
57   7.0 American Int'l 57   6.4 Suffolk 54
58   7.0 Lake Superior 59   6.4 Wis.-River Falls 67
59   7.0 Niagara 58   6.4 Mass.-Dartmouth 66
59   7.0 Niagara 58   6.4 Mass.-Dartmouth 66
.   .   .   .   .
60   6.4 Alaska-Anchorage 60   6.4 Middlebury 62
61   .   .   6.3 Castleton 58
62   .   .   6.3 Concordia MN 64
63   .   .   6.2 St. Mary's 65
64   .   .   6.1 So. New Hampshire 57
65   .   .   6.1 Hamline 69
66   .   .   6.0 Aurora 71
67   .   .   6.0 Canton 70
68   .   .   6.0 Morrisville 59
69   .   .   6.0 Wis.-Superior 61
.   .   .   .   .
70   .   .   5.9 Wis.-Stout 73
71   .   .   5.9 Western NE College 68
72   .   .   5.9 St. Michael's 63
73   .   .   5.9 St. Olaf 74
74   .   .   5.8 Southern Maine 72
75   .   .   5.6 Westfield State 77
76   .   .   5.6 Bryn Athyn 79
77   .   .   5.6 Johnson and Wales 76
78   .   .   5.6 Assumption 75
79   .   .   5.4 Trine 78
.   .   .   .   .
80   .   .   5.1 Becker 80
81   .   .   4.5 Stonehill 83
82   .   .   4.5 Finlandia 81
83   .   .   4.5 Bethel 82
84   .   .   4.0 Franklin Pierce 84
85   .   .   3.2 Framingham State 85
86   .   .   3.2 Chatham 86
87   .   .   3.2 Kings 87
88   .   .   2.9 Post 88

SAS Output
cMax Women's Ratings: Games thru 'Feb 18, 2018'
DI: Details - by Conf || DII/III: Details - by Conf

Rank ' cMax
Rate
DI Last
Wk
' cMax
Rate
DII/III Last
Wk
1   10.0 Boston College 2   10.0 Norwich 3
2   10.0 Wisconsin 1   10.0 Wis.-River Falls 1
3   9.9 Clarkson 3   10.0 Plattsburgh 2
4   9.3 Colgate 4   9.6 Hamline 4
5   8.8 Minnesota 5   9.5 Elmira 5
6   8.8 Ohio State 6   9.2 Middlebury 6
7   8.8 Cornell 7   9.2 Gustavus Adolphus 7
8   8.5 Northeastern 8   9.1 St. Thomas 9
9   8.4 St. Lawrence 9   8.8 Adrian 8
10   8.3 Boston University 13   8.8 Wis.-Eau Claire 11
.   .   .   .   .
11   8.3 Providence 10   8.5 Amherst 10
12   8.2 Princeton 14   8.4 Lake Forest 13
13   8.2 Mercyhurst 12   8.0 Augsburg 12
14   8.1 Maine 11   7.8 Conn. College 14
15   8.0 Minnesota-Duluth 16   7.7 Wis.-Superior 15
16   8.0 Bemidji State 15   7.7 Hamilton 16
17   8.0 Connecticut 17   7.6 Wis.-Stevens Point 19
18   7.9 Robert Morris 18   7.6 Williams 18
19   7.9 St. Cloud State 19   7.6 St. Scholastica 17
20   7.7 New Hampshire 20   7.2 Bethel 20
.   .   .   .   .
21   7.5 Harvard 24   7.1 Bowdoin 21
22   7.5 Quinnipiac 22   7.0 William Smith 22
23   7.5 Vermont 21   6.8 Buffalo State 23
24   7.4 Penn State 23   6.6 Endicott 25
25   7.3 Syracuse 25   6.5 Concordia MN 30
26   7.1 Merrimack 26   6.5 St. Catherine 28
27   7.0 Yale 27   6.5 Oswego 24
28   6.9 Rensselaer 28   6.5 St. Mary's 26
29   6.7 Lindenwood 29   6.2 Morrisville 29
30   6.5 Minnesota State 30   6.2 Trinity 27
.   .   .   .   .
31   5.9 Union 31   6.2 St. Norbert 33
32   5.5 Dartmouth 32   6.1 Potsdam 31
33   4.9 Brown 33   6.1 Colby 32
34   4.8 Holy Cross 34   5.9 Utica 34
35   4.8 RIT 35   5.8 Stevenson 36
36   4.0 St. Anselm 36   5.8 Manhattanville 35
37   3.8 Sacred Heart 37   5.7 Concordia WI 37
38   2.4 Franklin Pierce 38   5.7 Wesleyan 39
39   -0.4 St. Michael's 39   5.5 Marian 41
40   -2.8 Post 40   5.5 Castleton 38
.   .   .   .   .
41   .   .   5.3 Mass.-Boston 40
42   .   .   5.2 St. Olaf 44
43   .   .   5.0 Canton 42
44   .   .   4.9 Cortland 43
45   .   .   4.8 St. Benedict 47
46   .   .   4.7 Neumann 45
47   .   .   4.6 Plymouth State 46
48   .   .   4.6 Univ. New England 48
49   .   .   4.6 Northland 49
50   .   .   4.4 Johnson & Wales 50
.   .   .   .   .
51   .   .   3.9 Salve Regina 51
52   .   .   3.7 Nichols 53
53   .   .   3.7 Finlandia 56
54   .   .   3.5 Chatham 52
55   .   .   3.5 Southern Maine 54
56   .   .   3.5 Salem State 57
57   .   .   3.2 Becker 55
58   .   .   2.9 Trine 58
59   .   .   2.6 Aurora 59
59   .   .   2.6 Aurora 59
.   .   .   .   .
60   .   .   2.5 New England College 60
61   .   .   0.3 Lebanon Valley 61
62   .   .   -0.8 Kings 62